Ever since training camp begins in October, our minds are focused on this time of year. Besides graduation and the thought of summer vacation, we always look forward to the NBA Finals. This is the time of year when the pundits no longer define the predictions, but rather, the predictions define the pundits. This is when one NBA franchise seizes the opportunity to rise to the top, and one team has to settle for silver. This is when one winner will be the example for future generations and the loser only a distant memory in the mind of the average fan. This is when a band of athletes representing two cities look to build a lasting reputation. This is where amazing happens.
This year the quest for gold is between the Los Angeles Lakers and Orlando Magic. If you had asked most fans at the beginning of the year, they would have told you the Lakers would definitely make the NBA Finals. If you had asked most fans during the season, they would have told you the Lakers would be 1 of 2 lone survivors come June. If you asked most fans during the first round of the playoffs, they probably would have told you the Lakers would emerge as the alpha-dog of the Western Conference and move on to the main stage. But if you asked most fans during the semifinals or finals of the Western Conference playoffs, they may have expressed some doubt about the Lakers winning the NBA championship, let alone staying in the race until June.
On the other hand, not many people would have told you that the Magic had the ability to defeat the Cleveland Cavaliers, otherwise known as "The Lebron James Show", and contend for 1st place. They could've brought up a number of excuses: The Magic doesn't have the experience. Jameer Nelson is injured. Van Gundy isn't the right coach. LBJ and the Cleveland Crew will surely beat them. Well, the Orlando Magic have come a long way. Dwight Howard proved that in a defense vs. offense showdown, the Defensive Player of the Year has the edge against the offensive-minded MVP. I thought the Lakers were getting too much hate. Turns out, the Magic weren't getting any love. Even after going 6-3 this season against Boston, the Lakers, and Cleveland, the blue-and-white bunch weren't getting any credit.
Let's not forget about the league, though. This is not the best situation for the NBA, who was ready to settle the "who's best" debacle by letting LBJ and KB play it out - which would have meant historically high ratings. Just think of all the time that was spent making the Kobe-Lebron puppet commercials. It would have been the match-up of a lifetime: Cleveland vs. Los Angeles, Kobe vs. Lebron, 24 vs. 23, Past vs. Future, Experience vs. Hype (in this case, I'm not rooting for hype). Take a second to ponder how much could have been written about such a series. Thousands of columns, hours of TV, and plenty of books would have been devoted solely to the 2008-2009 NBA Finals.
However, let's not forget the storyline we're working with here. We still have the Lakers, who are desperately looking to redeem themselves after last year's embarrassment against the Celtics. A championship now would allow Phil Jackson to stand on a pedestal of his own - without the presence of Red Aurebach. A title would also prove that Kobe could win without Shaq, although big men have been influential in this pusuit (see: Pau Gasol). Statistically, if the Lakers won, they would have a 50% success rate in the Finals (15 championships in 30 appearances). Then, there's a young group based near Disneyworld, who wants to shine up their fingers with a ring. Dwight Howard could prove he's more than just a big dude who can block shots; he could prove to be a legit leader in this league. By winning, the Magic could add to recent upsets against the purple and gold and be remembered as the ones who stopped Kobe Bryant in his trek. Most of all, they could bring basketball pride to a city without much sports glory.
Picking a winner for this series isn't easy at all. The Lakers have been playing rather inconsistently, with their most recent game being an exception. But then again, the Lakers do have the game's greatest closer in Kobe Bryant. Nonetheless, the Magic do have the momentum, winning round after round as an underdog. The Magic did win both meetings against the Lakers this season. They also found a way to control a team with this year's MVP. Will it be Disneyland or Disneyworld who is the victor in the match-up?
This time, I don't think I'm being biased when I predict that the Los Angeles Lakers will be the 2009 NBA Champions. Regardless of how much the Magic say they have grown throughout these playoffs, it's the Lakers who have learned the(ir) lessons. Last year, after "cakewalking" through the playoffs, as Kobe Bryant put it, the Lakers simply didn't show up in the NBA Finals. From that point on, they have been dubbed "softies" and have been on a mission. They won't settle for second-best. They could care less about being the Western Conference champions. In the last two series, they have banged around with some of the more physical squads in this league and regardless of what the media says, they have gotten much smarter defensively.
At the same time, though, I wouldn't be surprised if the Magic won. Well, I would, but only slightly. The Magic have the game's greatest defender in Dwight and one of the best 2-3 punches (ex. Gasol-Odom) I've seen in Lewis and Turkoglu. Additionally, Rafer Alston had a sensational series against the Cavaliers. With Lebron James' hand in his face, he stayed cool, calm, and collected as he banked a three-pointer. And Skip to My Lou hasn't been the only factor for Orlando. Pietrus has also put on a display of his skills by showing he can drain a long-range deuce just as easily as he can drive to hoop and convert.
But at the end of the day, the Lakers are the wiser, more poised team. They're just so much more lethal. Whether it's Kobe Bryant's scowl or Odom yelling at the top of his lungs, L.A. is just so much more dangerous. With Shannon Brown in the lineup, they have the edge against Rafer Alston. At shooting guard, nobody can stop Kobe. Odom and Ariza should be able to handle Lewis. And I can't wait to watch Gasol and Bynum take on Dwight. This is the crucial match-up here. If Dwight dominates the post, Orlando jurastically increases its chances of winning. But if Gasol and Bynum continue to display a daunting defensive presence, things may turn out to be slightly more difficult.